Monday, January 6, 2014

2 - Positive Socio-Political Atmosphere

A Positive Socio-Political Atmosphere:
A Necessary Condition for Effective Development
(An Open Memo to the New Maldives Government of 2013)

People are excited about the outcome of the election and it is easy to forget that effective development can happen only in an atmosphere conducive for meaningful action that enables positive outcomes.  I believe that most blunders of our recent past have been largely the result of: i) the lack of courage and foresight on the part of the person elected to the Office of the President to choose the right path/action; ii) sacrificing the interest of the nation to cater for personal egos, the craving arising from a feeling of insecurity and lack of self-confidence; and iii) the lack respect for the spirit of the times and behaviours arising from that lack. 

Three interrelated areas can be identified that encompass the above shortcomings:
### policy and/or action that will increase the chances for jeopardizing our independence;
### lack of respect for the spirit of people’s choices in 1932 and 1968, and behaviour thereof; and
### basing public policy on one’s limited thinking and not facing the responsibility to improve.
Elaborated below are aspects of these areas and policy conducive to rectifying these failings. 

One: Policy/Action That Can Jeopardize Our Independence in the Long Term:  Effective action in the realm of development cannot take place if policies pursued by the Government lead to jeopardizing our independence, which is a long-term outcome of current action.  Leasing strategic infrastructure of the nation to foreigners, particularly the Indians, is among such policy/action.  My article labelled “Viayafaari U’sool” treats the topic in detail and is attached for your convenience, although it has been sent to you earlier. 

Taking refuge in Indian Embassy by those who hope to hold high office (Yameen, Nasheed, others) during the disturbances in our political milieu is also among the kind of action that will lead to similar undesirable outcomes – for such action will invariably obligate a price for the services rendered, and given that most of those who undertook such action don’t have own assets to make payments, the easiest path would be (as is usually the case) to give concessions on our strategic interests!  The nation should not be made to pay with its independence for benefits received by individuals for any reason!  Under the circumstances, given that currently there is such an obligation which would in all likelihood be paid by such concessions that would endanger our long term independence, I suggest, however unpleasant the proposal may come across, that the debt be paid by a means that will not jeopardize our independence in the long term – as leasing an island on the usual terms for resort development.  This is a better option than deceiving ourselves by pretending that a price that would otherwise endanger our independence will not be paid for that deplorable lack of foresight!  

For those in the know, engaging in the development process while the nation is headed for its virtual demise is like trying to arrange deck chairs of Titanic while the Captain is adamantly keeping its bearing towards an immense ice berg; their outcomes being foregone conclusions.    

Two: Lack of Respect by Those in High Office for the Spirit of the Times – represented, in particular, by the declarations by the people in both 1932 and 1968 to forego the hereditary monarchy and to let “their affairs be conducted among themselves by mutual consultation” (The Koran 42:38).  Yet the elected heads of state and senior officials appointed by them are deliberately disrespectful to those declarations!  A good example of this attitude is the policy by the Government, which has become sacred standard for our media: those even in the lowest rungs of Government would “vidhaalhuvaanee” while anyone outside it, even those scientists respected globally such as Albert Einstein, would “bunaanee” (to maintain the pretence of fairness and thus help instil the idea in the public mind, it is applied to anyone in any government).  This self-serving scheme of belittling those not working in governments and thus by inference bestowing upon themselves a “hollow haibathufulhu” was begun by Mr Gayyoom, which his successors, both Mr Nasheed and Dr Waheed, pursued with zeal, since it benignly served their psychological needs, which has to do with covering up their inability to perform their jobs satisfactorily, as if a “hollow haibathufulhu” is a substitute for incompetence!  I reminded Mr Gayyoom repeatedly of the damage self-serving/aggrandizing behaviours (which blatantly violate the spirit of the declarations by the people in 1932 and 1968, and, importantly, spirit of the times we live in today in which getting thing done calls for participation of a wide range of people, be they in or out of the Government) beget the nation, but to no avail!  (See attached “Preamble” and “Attitude Change”)  The flattering image such behaviour creates seems more important than pursuing the nation’s best interest! 

We should understand that such self-aggrandizing attitudes belonged to a past bygone era – the era of the hereditary monarchy. An essential difference between then and now is that then everything in the nation was at the disposal of “Radhun” or “Ranikamanaa.”  Accordingly, values systematically inculcated in the public were characterized by servitude; ass-kissing behaviour being a core element of this milieu.  Even a strange dialect was invented to set them apart from the rest!  Such policies were easy to implement in the prevailing poor conditions then, as the means of survival for many were thru Government.  The importance of people’s declarations of 1932 and 1968 is that they have made the past era obsolete.  And economic development has loosened the grip of the Government, reducing its control over the masses.  Yet it is those self-serving values that are being instilled in the public thru the media by our democratically elected Governments – as if we’re still in the days of the monarchy and getting elected/appointed to office gives them similar rights!

Even the root cause of incidents of “police brutality” can be traced to this self-aggrandizing attitude of the Government.  Humans are by nature aggressive, which tendency is kept under automatic check by the societal values inculcated in them aimed at living in a harmonious society.  We should remember that values influence attitudes and behaviours at subconscious/unconscious levels, and thus it will be in vain that one can try to pursue a behaviour that is in conflict with one’s values.  Thus when values instilled in the members of the police force in effect say “those in the government are the important people and the rest are nobody,” it is those values that become internalized in them, and their behaviour would reflect those values.  Thus the motto “Protect & Serve” that decorates the uniforms of the members of the police force becomes just a decoration, and a misleading one at that.  High moral standards implied by “Protect & Serve” cannot be inculcated in members of the police force while the Government is adamant on inculcating contradictory values in the public at large, of which individuals of the police force are members, and thus the police force will not be able to pursue its moral responsibility as it ought to.  Inappropriate and undesirable values instilled in people would inevitably lead to correspondingly inappropriate and undesirable behaviours.  

Building a better society (which is what development is all about) cannot happen if the prevailing socio-political atmosphere is characterized by inappropriate self-serving policies.  At a basic level, development implies the pursuit of a condition that is perceived to be better.  This cannot happen if people, particularly those in the Government responsible for getting things moving in the right direction, are unable to talk about the situation frankly, without being apprehensive of damages that might occur to them if they did.  The way things are now in our volatile circumstances created by party politics and insecure rulers, the focus of most of those at senior levels of the Government is to adopt behaviours that will secure their jobs, and with good reason: recent events have shown that there is no guarantee to job security.  Adopting a self-preserving stance would not be difficult at all for a people brought up in an ass-kissing culture!  Actually, it is nothing new, but has been much aggravated recently by our new-found “democracy” and party politics.  Guess what happens to their performance if they are unable to think beyond holding onto their jobs, if the path for their productive interaction with colleagues and others is choked by the system!  This is the new reality in our fast-changing world when we are in urgent need to find solutions to conditions that are fast becoming obsolete! 

It is clear that the sociopolitical atmosphere pervaded by self-serving/aggrandizing attitudes by Government is not conducive for meaningful development to take place.  Therefore, if such development is desired, it is necessary for the Government to bring the values and behaviours it pursues and propagates in line with the realities of the times, not to mention declarations made by the people in both 1932 and 1968. 

Three: Basing Public Policy on One’s Limited Knowledge and Adamant Refusal to Learn:  Part of this problem lies in that public/development policy is broad, multifaceted, and intertwined on the one hand, and on the other that the specialized education one can obtain through the world education system is only partial and thus limited.  Add to these limitations the intricacies arising from the local context and the complexity of policy formulation becomes enormous.  (This problem is not limited to the Maldives but manifests globally; an account of roots of this problem and action to counter some of the downsides arising from it on a global scale is given in my writings online at www.rifatafeef.blogspot.com.)  The other part of the problem is that the Government is oblivious to the challenges arising from this situation and goes about adopting any surmise by anyone as valid policy; this behaviour being much aggravated if those involved have university educations, making them feel that “they know it all,” much like the “frog in the well.”   In spite of repeated explanations of the impossibility of devising valid policy the way they go about now (see below) there has been little inclination to date to face reality and adopt the right methodology of formulating policy.

Given the many areas comprising of development policy, the flawed conclusion most people jump to is this: “If policy involves so many specialities, then we’ll get people knowledgeable in those areas to discuss the issue among themselves and they’ll come up with the right policy.”  It may sound like systematic thinking, but the approach will not work (even if adopted, which people usually don’t but rely on some person’s self-proclaimed pseudo-knowledge).  To understand why it will not work, we need some facilitative background. 

We all understand that the ability of a physician (as medical doctors are called nowadays) to cure an illness depends on how well he or she had mastered the profession of medicine, besides the availability of required facilities and medications.  Similarly, the ability of a structural engineer to do a good job depends on his or her mastery of that profession.  The physician understands his/her profession and the engineer understands his/her profession.  We all know that much.  Here is the tricky part most people find difficult to comprehend: neither the physician nor the engineer has any meaningful knowledge about the other’s specialized area, thus neither can speak meaningfully with the other about either medicine or engineering.  And it is the same story with, say, an economist and a sociologist, or a financier and a psychologist, and so on.  In short, those specialized in all areas are in the same boat: they don’t have a common language to talk meaningfully with another person of a different specialization.  Thus getting people of different backgrounds together is a useless endeavour.  In fact, it is a highly misleading endeavour, as we are usually under mistaken belief that gathering people of different specializations can produce viable development policy and thus go about adopting the outcomes of such processes as valid policy.  We are faced with a difficult dilemma here: those of different specializations cannot converse meaningfully with others in a different field, while policy making involves many specialized fields and is highly complex. 

But the problem can be overcome if a single individual has mastered, or at least has acquired the basics of, the central areas of development planning; this will enable the integration of fragmented and disjointed info into a coherent and meaningful synthesis.  And that is precisely what I had done over the past 24 years, by sacrificing, basically, all else.  Having gained sufficient background by 1999, I suggested to Mr Gayyoom that I acquaint those involved in the Government policy process (those at technical levels of the ministries involved and Cabinet and Parliament members – those involved both in formulating/implementing plans and in deciding on them) with the basics of development.  But he could not see the need for such an endeavour.  Having tried repeatedly to convince him of the crucial importance of that endeavour to get things moving in the right direction, and failing, I took the issue to the Parliament, with equally deplorable results.  Attached is the letter I sent to the MPs, individually, in April 2005, labelled “Majlis Letter One”; attached is also a summary of that letter which I later sent to Mr Gayyoom, labelled “Last Explanation.” 

To help move policy in the right direction, I am willing to undertake such an explanation to the members of the new government, along with those of the Parliament; not that it will make them experts on development (in any case, I can provide only the basics of the most central aspects) but it will help guide their discussions along technically viable lines; current discussions being not only ineffective but actually misleading.  If the endeavour is deemed worthwhile, two vital points need be noted: i) for best results, the presentation should take place before people get busy formulating any kind of plans; for changing the direction (insights gained through the presentation will make a real difference to their thinking; it is not just a talk show) after efforts start gaining momentum will be most frustrating and thus unwelcome; and ii) the presentation overheads are in need of a major revision, which will take at least three weeks to complete, and I must start revising them ahead of that time, which requires my being informed of a decision in time so that that schedule can be kept. 

It should be clear that neither adopting surmises nor getting people of different specialities together can produce valid policy; some such “policy” being worse than none at all – for reasons given, such policy is likely to lead us in the wrong direction, as can be seen by past blunders that resulted thru similar processes.  Therefore if better outcomes are desired, those engaged in the process (both in formulation/implementation of plans and in decision making) must have an understanding of the basic concepts; otherwise they will not do any better than blind Yehya trying to catch crows!  (By the way, some of the basic concepts dealt with in my presentation are not at all clear to those who have been engaged in teaching development for a lifetime!)  

Conclusion

The preceding has made it abundantly clear that the attitude and mindset of the person elected to the Office of the President, and those of the senior officers appointed by that person to high office as well as members of the Parliament, are crucial factors that can hinder (or facilitate) development.  Rather than adopting right policies, the trend to-date has been to wipe successive blunders under the carpet and eye-wash the public.  

For example, economic growth happens when money coming from outside a region facilitates creating new economic activities in the region.  Thus growth in the Maldives is a direct result of those activities that bring in foreign currency from abroad, namely, tourism and fisheries, currently; these are activities undertaken by the private sector.  This makes clear the extent to which the Government’s claims to our growth are false. What did the Government do to help develop the most important sector in our economy?  The airports are, of course, important; so is the Hotel School, to a lesser extent.  But did the Government, for example, help get finance for the development of any resort (apart from Sun Island) which is the most important factor in that sector’s growth?  This is when local developers have to beg for finance from foreign sources, putting themselves in hugely disadvantageous positions!  And yet the Government is quick to take all the credit for our development!  Politicians shamelessly boast: “Alhugandumen midhekey thara’q’qeege sirrakee …”  What a load of (self-serving) crap!  Just because someone happened to be sitting in the right chair at the right time does not mean that that person can take credit for outcomes that others had achieved with their hard work!  

More importantly, we are all aware of the damage done by politicians’ misguided actions – like the growth of foreign workers to more than a third of our population within just 20 years due to wrong dual policies of the Government regarding both population and education, when the right policies were clear; the continued congestion of Malé arising from the repeated wrong policies (thinking in every round “This time we’ll catch the crow!”) when the right policies are clear; leasing strategic assets to foreigners, particularly Indians, which will most likely jeopardize our independence; and so on.  Current “policy making” is more akin to the age-old adage “moyaehge athah kandieh dhinun …” – they just don’t know what the hell they are doing!  

On the positive side, the above also has given us a good idea of the improvements that can happen if those in high office acquired the courage to change their attitudes and behaviours – by being aware of the damage they are inflicting on the nation and learning to behave responsibly, than being driven by self-interest above all else.  Mustering such courage will most likely lead to opening the door for adopting the right policies

On reflection, since the urge of the rulers to set themselves apart from the people and control them by placing them under their thumbs arises from their craving for respect, it is ironical that they can't comprehend that by respecting people as human beings and citizens with inalienable rights, they can achieve that end!  This is not only the spirit of the declarations of the people in both 1932 and 1968, it is also the spirit of the times we live in.  In today's complex world in which education is specialized and without any common language for discussing issues, betterment can happen only if people can interactively surmount limitations arising from it by exchanging ideas without the fear of persecution; measures to create barriers and perpetuate ass-kissing attitudes will certainly stifle such efforts and force them to regress to destructive self-preserving behaviours.  
********************************************
Preamble
(From personal letter to President Gayyoom on November 16, 2002)

Please recall: In the first letter I wrote to US Government trying to obtain a scholarship (Oct 1987) I stated two sides to the development equation: a technical/practical/pragmatic side and a personal/political/leadership side, as follows:
The specific sequence of actions that could be taken towards making it happen (getting the situation moving on a positive track towards desired goals) starts with an awareness of intricacies and dimensions of the situation (the technical side of the equation) together with a sincere and strong political will (the leadership side). 

Central to leadership is that it is different from mere ruling.  Positive leadership is backed by technically viable thinking.  It leads people towards national goals, not self-destruction.  (That’s where we are headed, on a roller-coaster.)  Leadership is based on the reality of the world we live in (it has its built-in nature/rules; it’s not dependant upon what someone might think it is).  In SE & EAsia, for example, it is positive leadership that is behind every success story, while in South Asia it is the lack of such leadership (“democratic” or otherwise) that keeps peoples in misery.  It’s leading, not merely ruling (by consensus or not), that makes the difference.  

Significantly, it is the thinking that is not rooted in the nature and realities of both the epoch we are living in and our small and fragile country that blocks the path of viable policy, and thus constitutes a prime cause of why things go wrong.  And the more things go wrong, the more important appearances tend to become.  This is a never-ending vicious circle.   Correcting current political thinking is therefore vital if we are to break this vicious circle and put things on the right track.  

Correcting the current thinking has two sides: a technical side (which is addressed by my presentation) and a personal or leadership side.  The following focuses on the personal side.  It is only when the personal side is addressed constructively that there is a likely chance for a real leadership to emerge. .............  
********************************************
Attitude Change
(From personal letter to President Gayyoom on December 16, 2006)
................................................  

To reiterate what has been said many times over, I believe that we cannot get things on the right track before we manage to get the basics/fundamentals right. 

Among the basics is respect for the spirit of the twin declarations made by the people of this country – in 1932 to adopt a parliament and a constitutional monarchy in lieu of a hereditary monarchy, and subsequently, in 1968, to adopt the republican form of government.  But I believe such respect is not reflected in the behaviour of a person holding the Office of the President going in front of the Parliament whose members are elected by a direct vote of the people of this country, and addressing them in the “ahuren bunaa” language.  And, as I have mentioned sometime back, such behaviour reflects a blatant lack of respect not only for the people of this country but also for the very office you are holding – this is not to mention its reflecting a lamentable lack of awareness of the nature of the world we are living in today.  This deplorable state is further aggravated by the demand for respect for one’s own self, forgetting the fact that respect for a person holding your job is deserving to the extent of one’s doing a commendable job, which includes, among other things, facilitating the nation to tread the right path, instead of neglecting a long-deteriorating situation and refusing change.  

As can be inferred from the above paragraph, among the basics are also, on the one hand, understanding the nature of the world we are living in (and that we are only at a juncture on a timeline continuum) and, on the other, adopting attitudes and behaviour that are in harmony with that reality.  Aspects of this reality include the facts that we are a nation of small and fragile islands; that our population is a small and dispersed one; that we have a very small economy; and due to these (and other related factors), that we cannot adopt attitudes/behaviours that we see elsewhere.  But these realities cannot be faced while the foremost priority of the head of state is about building a personality cult!!  Take a second example: that of TVM and VoM reciting “Raeesul Jumhooriyya” immediately after the mention of Allah!!  Is this a proclamation of your quasi-divinity!?  There is no scope for feigning innocence here, if only for the many times I pointed out that you choose what is more important: either your own grandeur or interest of the nation (interests of one are in conflict with those of the other), and you have very clearly shown by your behaviour what your choice has been to-date!! 

Changing such improper attitudes/behaviour is, therefore, a necessary condition for the situation to be able to transform in the right direction.  And without changing such misguided attitudes/behaviour as a starting point and restoring the spirit of the above-mentioned twin declarations towards creating a sociopolitical climate conducive for positive/fruitful outcomes, we just cannot realize the much-needed policy changes integral to setting the situation right on the path of achieving broader national goals. 

Most societal problems don’t resolve by themselves.  When neglected/ignored (wiped under the carpet), they tend to manifest in other forms, each feeding on others; current unrest is illustrative of this.  Each situation thus tends to expand in scope and intensity – with the ultimate result of the collapse of the whole system.  And things just don’t happen automatically when committees or new ministries are created and fancy (but irrelevant) names are given them every other year, or when lofty speeches are made from stages – as if Allah Almighty is commanding from on high!!  For an insight into how things get done in today’s dynamic world (identifying root causes of problems, and finding viable and holistic solutions that are sustainable), see p #3, pa #2 of the paper titled “On the Nature of Planning” – on the mini-CD I sent you. ........…

                                                                           ********************************************



                                                                          ********************************************

Anyone skeptical of my concerns about Indian territorial interests in the Maldives might want to examine the coin below and compare it with the map below that.  A nation as paranoid about territory as India would not issue coins with maps that violate other nations’ territories just “by an innocent mistake.”  To the benefit of the unaware (or feel comfortable being ignorant), it might be mentioned that the inhabitants of the south western part of what is now "India" (there was no unified "India" then) occupied the Maldives in the mid eighteenth century but were driven out just after three months.  That the present nation of India would be interested in the Maldives is not surprising, given its strategic location in the Indian Ocean.  The Maldives was a British protectorate from 1887 to 1965 (which in fact might have saved it from the recurrence of the earlier fate, namely, being reoccupied by the inhabitants of south western "India," in which case there would not be an independent Maldives today); the Portuguese occupied the Maldives in mid sixteenth century for 17 years before driven out; the Dutch, who replaced the Portuguese in the region, also had an interest in the Maldives but did not occupy it directly.  Currently, the US also has an interest in the Maldives, but of a different kind; given that it now has a military presence just south of the Maldives in Diego Garcia, its basic concern is in keeping the Maldives neutral and preventing it from falling under the influence of another power, global or regional, thus to that extent at least, there is shared interest between the Maldives and the US.  It is also worth mentioning to the unaware of / uninitiated to the nuances of international politics that today, more often than not, bigger nations influence smaller ones not by direct occupation, especially if there are other thugs around and with bigger sticks, but by a slow process extended over the years of gradual socioeconomic strangulation with an ever tightening noose until their lives as independent nations are wholly squeezed out.  Thus fighting / resisting after the fact instead of far-thinking and wise policies will be futile.  The tragic stories of Palestine and Hawaii are just two of the many instructive cases, for both of them went under primarily by their own stupidity and the simplistic thinking of their own rulers.  Thus if the Maldives wants to continue as an independent nation, it better have the brains both not to be trapped into any of the many fatal pitfalls and be able to plan ahead wisely so that it can continue to exist as an independent nation.  But based on the bird-brained policies of successive recent governments in the Maldives, our prospects are anything but bleak.  



The line separating the northern territory of the Maldives from India is indicated by the dotted line highlighted in purple above the label "Eight Degree Channel."  Compare this with the extent to which to which the dots on the coin protrude down into the territory of the Maldives.  (Also please note the coin's top area: the Kashmir region as well as the area bordering China: it is what India considers to be its territory.)  (I also have several atlases that came through Indian sellers stamped with proclamations to the effect that the maps in them are "neither correct nor authentic.")  A nation as obsessed with its borders as India and makes a fuss about any map that does not conform to its version of the borders does not go about doing this kind of things by mistake.  It is possible that the guilty party is the Indian Mint and that the authorities merely turned a blind eye to the issue.  And there are coins bearing dates of numerous years, not only 1998, in current circulation. 

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.